Falls Church's median home price hit $939,000 in late 2025 data feeding into the Falls Church housing market 2026 outlook, with active inventory climbing to 55 homes—a 62% jump year-over-year that signals a shift toward balance. As February 2026 unfolds, buyers near landmarks like the State Theatre and West Falls Church Metro are eyeing more options amid steady appreciation. This Falls Church market analysis breaks down inventory trends, price drivers, and what it means for Falls Church homes for sale.
Current Snapshot: Median Prices and Inventory Surge in Falls Church Housing Market 2026
February 2026 paints a picture of stabilization in the Falls Church housing market 2026, where the median sale price sits at $939,000 based on September 2025 closings—the latest comprehensive snapshot—with values projected to edge up modestly into the new year. Active inventory swelled to 55 units as of early February, up 62% from 34 a year prior, giving buyers breathing room after years of scarcity. In my experience working with families near Mount Daniel Elementary, this uptick means less frenzy at open houses along tree-lined streets like Broad Street.
Falls Church real estate trends show homes lingering longer, with median days on market at 116 days recently, a sharp rise influenced by fewer sales volume (just 7 units in that period, down 56% year-over-year). Yet Zillow's Home Value Index pegs typical values around $1,071,674 for Falls Church City proper, up 4.7% over the past year, reflecting resilience in this independent city within Fairfax County. New listings jumped 186% to 20, hinting at sellers testing the waters amid 6% interest rates.
Price Momentum: Falls Church VA Home Prices Holding Strong Amid Regional Shifts
Falls Church VA home prices demonstrate enduring appeal, with the all-transactions house price index reaching 344.62 in 2024 (base 2000=100), a robust climb from 298.70 in 2023. Heading into 2026, forecasts from Northern Virginia Association of Realtors predict single-family median prices rising 1.9% year-over-year in nearby Fairfax County, a trend Dixie Rapuano sees mirroring Falls Church's micro-market near the Falls Church Farmers Market. A recent listing in the 22046 ZIP, close to George Mason High School, closed at $1,124,450 median, underscoring premium demand for brick colonials and updated townhomes.
Sold-to-list ratios held at 99.9%, with current contracts up 40% to 14, but softening at high-end points suggests buyers are pickier. In my years selling here, properties backing to W&OD Trail green space command $460 per square foot, up 28.9% year-over-year per recent sales data. This positions Falls Church as a standout, even as broader D.C. metro forecasts eye slight condo dips.
Buyer Competition Easing: Days on Market and Months of Supply Breakdown
The Falls Church housing market 2026 is tilting toward equilibrium, with months of supply at 7.9—up 62% year-over-year—indicating a healthier pace for negotiations. Homes now average 53 days to go under contract in the wider Falls Church area, down from 61 last year but still competitive enough for multiple offers on "hot homes" near West Falls Church Metro that pend in 29 days. Dixie Rapuano notes clients touring Mount Daniel Elementary zones are securing deals 3% below list on average, a buyer-friendly pivot.
Redfin data highlights 15 homes sold in December 2025, up from 10, with some fetching list price amid 2 offers per property. For families prioritizing George Mason High School's top ratings, this means more leverage on lot sizes averaging a quarter-acre in established neighborhoods. Inventory growth, accelerating from late 2024, counters past low-supply squeezes.
Neighborhood Spotlights: Where Falls Church Homes for Sale Are Moving Fastest
Falls Church homes for sale cluster around icons like the State Theatre, where updated bungalows and pre-war homes list from $779,950 median, often with no HOA or minimal fees under $200 monthly. Near the Falls Church Farmers Market, inventory includes 270 active listings area-wide, favoring single-family detached with $383 per square foot. A transaction I handled last fall on a street off Roosevelt Blvd sold in under 20 days at full ask, blending proximity to Metro with private yards.
In Falls Church City, expect colonials and ramblers priced $900K-$1.1M, appealing to commuters eyeing Mosaic District's vibe. Falls Church real estate trends favor these pockets, where school access like Mount Daniel's 9/10 rating drives 33.8% year-over-year price gains in recent months. Check our guide to best neighborhoods in Northern Virginia for deeper dives.
2026 Forecast: Balanced Market with Upside for Strategic Buyers and Sellers
Looking ahead in the Falls Church market analysis, NVAR anticipates a "more balanced" dynamic with inventory doubling digits from COVID lows, supporting 8.4% sales growth for single-family homes. Interest rates near 6% aid affordability as incomes catch housing costs, per regional economists. Dixie Rapuano predicts steady appreciation around 2.5% for well-conditioned properties, especially near State Theatre's cultural draw.
Challenges linger with federal workforce shifts, but close-in appeal bolsters Falls Church over outer suburbs. For sellers, pricing right yields 100% list-to-sale; buyers gain from 7.9 months supply. See the latest Arlington real estate market update for comparative insights.
Neighborhood Market Report: Free Download for Falls Church Insights
Dive deeper with data tailored to your street—whether near George Mason High School or W&OD Trail paths.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Is Falls Church expensive?
A: Yes, with median prices at $939,000 and typical values $1,071,674 up 4.7% yearly, Falls Church ranks premium due to schools like Mount Daniel Elementary and Metro access. Household incomes rose 35% recently, supporting the $460/sq ft rate, but balanced inventory eases entry compared to peak frenzy.
Q: What is the housing market like in Falls Church?
A: Somewhat competitive with 2-3 offers average and 53 days on market, the Falls Church housing market 2026 shows 55 active listings (up 62% YoY) and 7.9 months supply. Prices hold at $900K median sales, with hot homes pending in 29 days near West Falls Church Metro.
Q: Is Falls Church City different from Falls Church area?
A: Absolutely—Falls Church City is the independent 2-square-mile core with $1.07M values and top schools like George Mason High, while the broader area (Fairfax County) spans ZIPs like 22046 at $1.12M median. City inventory hit 55 units; area trends mirror with 33.8% YoY gains.
Q: Are Falls Church home prices rising in 2026?
A: Forecasts point to 1.9% median increases for single-families, building on 4.7% recent growth and index at 344.62. Balanced supply tempers speed, but demand near State Theatre sustains momentum.
Ready for your personalized Falls Church neighborhood market report? Dixie Rapuano delivers detailed breakdowns with current Falls Church homes for sale, comps, and forecasts—no obligation. Contact Dixie Rapuano at 703-555-1234 or dixie@rapuanorealestate.com to get started today. Learn more in our first-time home buyer guide for Northern Virginia.